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September 3, 2010
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January 11, 2009
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Trader Resources : Price Analysis : Fundamental Analysis Fallacies
Here are fourteen common errors encountered by traders when using fundamental analysis. These can lead to errors in forecasts.
- Viewing fundamentals in a vacuum.
- Viewing old information as new.
- One-year comparisons.
- Using fundamentals for timing.
- Lack of perspective.
- Ignoring relevant time considerations
- Assuming price cannot decline below cost of production.
- Improper inferences.
- Comparing nominal prices.
- Ignoring expectations.
- Ignoring seasonal considerations.
- Expecting price to conform to target prices in world trade agreements.
- Drawing conclusions on basis of insufficient data.
- Confusing concepts of demand and consumption.
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